I'd be lying if I said I'm confident in picking a winner for this fight.
I've seen very little of these two fighters, but I'll make my judgement from what I've seen and heard from friends.
Grice is coming off a loss in which he could have had his hand raised(maybe twice) against MFS "stud" prospect Matt Veach. He couldn't close the deal, though Veach looked to be done a couple of times, and ended up getting beat. A lot of the fight with Veach was wrestling and he will probably want to stray away from that against Gugerty. A buddy enlightened us that Grice likes to leave his head free and out in the open during takedowns, and is prone to guillotines, which could prove detrimental against a submission artist like Gugerty.
Shannon is coming in off a disappointing loss to a very good veteran in Spencer Fisher, where he ended up getting triangled.(Not really a big deal) His ground game is very sound as we saw against Dale Hartt. He's also with a good camp at City Boxing with Brandon Vera and KJ Noons.
The fight is going to be decided on the ground. I think Grice will stand and bang for a while before trying to take Shannon down and try to work ground and pound. I see Gugerty sweeping him from his back and eventually getting his back for a rear naked choke.
Result: Shannon Gugerty by 1st round Submission.
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